🗞️
Top Stories
MLBTradeRumors · Rotowire · MLB.comClay Holmes took a 111.1 mph Spencer Jones comebacker off his right leg in the 4th inning of Friday's Subway Series opener. He didn't show obvious discomfort and stayed in the game — but postgame X-rays revealed a fractured fibula. Manager Carlos Mendoza: 'He's going to be down a long time.' Holmes was sitting at 4-3 with a 1.86 ERA (one of the league's best SP lines). Huascar Brazobán opens for the Mets tonight; expect a Sean Manaea / Jonah Tong promotion to follow.
Fantasy take: Drop Holmes in standard redraft formats — this is effectively a season-ending injury (fibula fractures in pitchers typically run 6-8 weeks minimum, and the 32-year-old isn't getting rushed). The Mets' rotation hole is real: Sean Manaea (12% rostered) is the priority claim if you need rotation depth. In deeper formats, stash Jonah Tong (3%) as the prospect waiting for a call-up.
Kyle Schwarber became the first player in MLB to reach 20 HRs in 2026, going 3-for-5 with 2 HRs and 5 RBI. Bryce Harper added a 4-for-5 / 2 RBI line. The Phillies' 11-9 win at PNC Park came in extras and was a back-and-forth slugfest — Brandon Lowe's 2 HR / 3 RBI night for Pittsburgh wasn't enough. Aaron Nola finally got the W (with bullpen help). The Phillies are 27-15 and lead the NL East.
Fantasy take: Schwarber is on a 60-HR pace through 42 games — start him every day, period. Harper's bounce-back from his migraine stint is officially complete (4-hit night). Brandon Lowe is back in everyday play and producing top-10 2B production — must-add in any league he's been dropped. Aaron Nola is still a streamer, but the win column is finally cooperating. Both teams' lineups are fantasy gold right now.
Strider returned from the 6-week oblique IL stint and was vintage: 6 IP, 4 H, 0 ER, 1 BB, 8 K on 88 pitches against Boston. The fastball sat 97-98 mph (right at pre-injury velocity) and the slider produced a 44% whiff rate. The Braves won 3-2 in the 9th on a Sean Murphy walk-off. He'll get extra rest before his next start.
Fantasy take: Start Strider with full confidence every time out — the velocity is back and the stuff plays. Some managers dropped him during the IL stint and that's a massive opportunity to capitalize on via trade. Top-15 SP rest of season. If somehow on your wire (~9% of leagues), claim immediately.
Three season-altering surgeries announced in a 24-hour window: Jordan Westburg (BAL) underwent Tommy John, ending his 2026 season. José Berríos (TOR) will undergo elbow surgery Wednesday (return likely 2027). Blake Snell (LAD) hit the 15-day IL with left elbow loose bodies — surgery is now the expected path, putting his return into August at the earliest. Add Trevor Story (BOS) re-aggravating his shoulder and the injury front is a mess.
Fantasy take: Drop Westburg and Berríos in all redraft formats. Snell is droppable too unless you have a deep IL+ slot — the timeline is now 8-10 weeks minimum. Cascading impact on rotation streamers: target SF (no Webb yet), Toronto (no Berríos), and Boston SP depth as your add priorities. Avoid streaming against the Phillies — Schwarber and Harper are both white-hot.
Kelly pitched a complete-game 4-hitter at Coors Field — 9 IP, 1 ER, 0 BB, 3 K — backed by a 9-1 Arizona offensive eruption (Ildemaro Vargas 4-for-5, 2 R, 2 RBI). Complete games at Coors are exceedingly rare (just 4 by visiting pitchers in the last 5 years). Kelly had been struggling with a 7.62 ERA entering the start. Manager Torey Lovullo: 'That's the Merrill we hired.'
Fantasy take: Add Kelly back in any league he was dropped. The complete-game outing is the validation — the underlying numbers (3.50 xFIP) were always pointing to better. He's a top-50 SP rest of season floor. D-backs offense is also heating up: Ildemaro Vargas is a hot deep-league add for utility eligibility.
📈
Waiver Wire Targets
FantasyPros · Rotoballer · Pitcher ListWho's Hot This Week
OF · OAK · ~16% owned
Pitcher List's #2 priority hitter. Cortes has elite plate discipline plus four HRs in limited play. Some risk if A's outfielders return from IL, but the A's are riding him as the everyday LF for now. Top-50 OF rest of season floor in 14+ team leagues.
SP · NYM · ~12% owned
Holmes' fibula fracture opens an immediate rotation slot. Manaea was the Mets' Game 2 SP in last year's NLCS — most experienced option and team likely calls on him within a week. Top-50 SP rest of season ceiling with elite Mets offense backing him.
SP · MIL · ~26% owned
Pitcher List's top SP add. Henderson's stuff grades elite by every model — 32.7% K-rate with just 4.1% walks. Small sample but the underlying skills are real. Top-40 SP rest of season as a stream now, with upside if he locks down a rotation spot. Add aggressively in 12+ team leagues.
SP · DET · ~45% owned
Mize is back from the adductor strain — starts today vs. Toronto. The 27.3% K-rate is well above his career average and the Tigers' rotation depth (Skubal still not back) means he'll get every opportunity. Top-40 SP rest of season floor with upside.
SP · ATL · ~91% owned
44% Slider Whiff
Out Pitch
Strider's triumphant return — velocity back at pre-injury level, slider's bite intact. If somehow on your wire (9% of leagues), this is the priority claim above all others. Top-15 SP rest of season ceiling. Some managers will have dropped him during the IL stint — pounce.
🌱 Stash of the Week
Jonah Tong — SP, NYM (~3% owned)
With Clay Holmes done for the season, the Mets have a real rotation hole to fill — and Tong is the next-best option after Manaea. The 22-year-old is dealing at Triple-A Syracuse (career 2.84 minor-league ERA, 12.8 K/9) and showed his MLB debut potential last year despite a small-sample 7.71 ERA. Expected MLB callup within the next 7-10 days. Stash in 14+ team leagues now; speculative add in 12-team. Top-50 SP rest of season ceiling if he locks the role.
Worth Reading
01
Headlines JJ Bleday (CIN) as the top hitter add (now at 30%+ rostered) and Logan Henderson (MIL) as the priority SP. Other targets: Carlos Cortes (OAK, 16%), Nick Martinez (TB), Trevor McDonald (SF), and the Mets rotation options after Clay Holmes' fibula fracture.
02
Sedler walks through the Clay Holmes fibula situation, Blake Snell's likely surgery, Byron Buxton's hip flexor (avoiding IL), and Logan O'Hoppe's wrist aggravation. Plus the bullpen carousel — Soto and Santana both imploded in PIT, the Nationals are cycling closers, and the Phillies' Orion Kerkering nabbed his first save.
03
MLBTR's roundup of AL injury updates — Cal Raleigh's MRI scheduled today, Logan O'Hoppe activated but already aggravating his wrist, and Ty Madden's rotation status in Detroit with Casey Mize returning. Useful context if you're rostering any of these names or making bullpen/rotation decisions in the AL.
📊
OBP Risers
MLB Stats · 14-Day Delta🩹
Injury Report
Rotowire · MLBTradeRumors · Beat ReportersOUT
NEW: Fractured right fibula from a 111.1 mph Spencer Jones comebacker in Friday's Subway Series opener. Mendoza: 'down a long time.' Pitcher fibula fractures typically run 6-8 weeks minimum and require careful return-to-mound work. Realistically a season-ending injury for a 32-year-old. Brazobán opens for the Mets tonight.
IL-15
Blake Snell — SP, Los Angeles Dodgers
NEW: 15-day IL retroactive to May 12 with left elbow loose bodies. Surgery is now the expected path — pushing his return to August at the earliest, possibly September. Dodgers have rotation depth (Wrobleski, Yamamoto, Sheehan) so no rush. Drop in standard formats.
Drop in standardCharlie Barnes (recalled, low-end depth)
OUT
SEASON-ENDING: Underwent Tommy John surgery — out for the rest of 2026 and likely most of 2027. Westburg had been hitting .244 with 7 HR before being shut down. The Orioles' infield depth was already thin; this leaves them with Holliday (3B rehab), Blaze Alexander, and Coby Mayo at the corner.
IL-60
SEASON-ENDING: Elbow surgery Wednesday. Berríos had been on the IL with elbow inflammation since late April; the decision to operate effectively ends his 2026 season. Blue Jays' rotation now leans on Yesavage / Scherzer / Bieber (when back) / Lauer / new acquisition. Trade-deadline activity is now near-certain.
IL-10
NEW: 10-day IL — re-aggravated right shoulder (the same shoulder that bothered him in April). Story had been hitting .263 with 5 HR and 8 SB before the latest setback. Story's shoulder issues have been chronic, so 4-6 weeks is the realistic timeline. Marcelo Mayer takes over at SS.
Stash; Mayer the priority addMarcelo Mayer (top prospect, daily reps)
🔍
Scouting Report
MLB.comMLB.com · by Brittany Ghiroli · May 15
Merrill Kelly's Maddux at Coors — What an Unlikely Complete Game Says About Arizona's Rotation
Complete games at Coors Field by visiting pitchers are nearly extinct — just 4 in the last 5 years before Friday night. Merrill Kelly added a fifth: 9 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, 3 K in Arizona's 9-1 rout of Colorado. Kelly entered the start with a 7.62 ERA, a level of struggle his career indicators (3.50 career xFIP, 11+ years of sub-4 ERA work) couldn't explain. He worked through every Rockies hitter in his pitch mix — sinker for ground balls, changeup for swings out of the zone, slider for putaways.
The fantasy implications: Kelly is the cheapest SP add of the week (sub-5% rostered after the brutal start). His career xFIP is 3.50; his current 7.62 ERA includes three starts where he gave up 5+ ER in 4 innings or fewer. Volatility is real, but the floor of a high-strikeout veteran in a hitter-friendly division isn't a bad bet. The Coors complete game is the validation — the stuff is intact and the Rockies were one of the worst hitting matchups for him on paper (lots of RH pull power).
What it means for the D-backs: Arizona is suddenly a real NL Wild Card threat at 22-21. Eduardo Rodriguez (2.25 ERA), Kelly back on track, and Brandon Pfaadt holding down the back of the rotation. The lineup has Ketel Marte (slumping but xwOBA strong), Corbin Carroll (5 HR / 12 SB), and Ildemaro Vargas (.279 BA) producing. If Lourdes Gurriel Jr. continues his OBP rise, the D-backs offense becomes a top-12 unit.
9 IP / 1 ER / 0 BB5/15 vs COL
3.50 career xFIPTrue talent
5th CG at Coors in 5 yrsRare achievement
The VerdictAdd Kelly anywhere he's available. The Maddux is the validation — his stuff plays, the xFIP supports it, and the volatility is part of the deal. Top-50 SP rest of season floor with top-30 upside if the BABIP corrects. The D-backs as a team are heating up; track Carroll, Marte, and Vargas as the lineup engines.
Read the full piece at MLB.com →🔥
Bullpen Bulletin
Closer Monkey · Beat ReportersFriday's slate had multiple closer disruptions. Tanner Scott (LAD) is now firmly locked as primary even when Díaz returns (7-game scoreless streak). Riley O'Brien (STL, 13 saves) and Jhoan Duran (PHI, 7) are locked. Pittsburgh is a mess: Soto and Santana both imploded in extras Friday. Nationals continue cycling closers. Athletics' Jack Perkins lost a 2nd blown save, may lose role.
Read the full Ledger →| Closer | Team | Status | Note |
|---|
| Tanner Scott | LAD | 🟢 Locked | 0.574 WHIP with 14 K vs. 2 BB across 15.2 IP since April 4. Scott is now the unquestioned Dodgers closer even when Edwin Díaz returns. Top-8 RP rest of season. |
| Riley O'Brien | STL | 🟢 Locked | 13 saves, 5-of-6 conversions in May. The Cardinals are winning enough close games to drive volume. Top-15 RP rest of season — claim if somehow on your wire. |
| Jhoan Duran | PHI | 🟢 Locked | 7 saves; his recent post-IL outing showed full health. Phillies offense is firing (Schwarber, Harper) so closer chances will continue piling up. Top-12 RP rest of season. |
| Pirates Committee | PIT | | Soto and Santana both blew leads in Friday's extra-inning loss. Pittsburgh's bullpen is now a true chaos committee; neither is reliable for saves chasers. Avoid in standard formats. |
| Jack Perkins | OAK | | 2nd blown save in last 4 outings; the A's may shift to Hogan Harris or Luis Medina shortly. Drop in standard formats; monitor next 5-7 days for committee resolution. |
📱
Best in Social
X · YouTube · Instagram · TikTokMets' Clay Holmes takes a 111.1 mph Spencer Jones comebacker off his right leg in the 4th inning of Friday's Subway Series opener. He shook it off, stayed in the game — postgame X-rays revealed a fractured fibula. Jones, who was a Yankees teammate of Holmes's last year, told reporters: 'I'm sorry. He's a friend of mine.'
Holmes is effectively out for the season — drop him in standard redraft formats. Sean Manaea (12% rostered) is the priority Mets add; Jonah Tong (3%) is the deep-league stash. The Mets' rotation hole is real, and the schedule is tough through June.
Watch Holmes injured by Jones comebacker →Kyle Schwarber becomes the first player to reach 20 HRs in 2026 with his 19th and 20th in Philadelphia's 11-9 extras win over the Pirates. Bryce Harper added a 4-for-5 night. Brandon Lowe matched Schwarber's 2-HR effort for Pittsburgh (3 RBI). The Phillies are 27-15 and lead the NL East.
Schwarber is on a 60-HR pace through 42 games — start him every day. Harper's bounce-back from migraine is complete (4 hits). Brandon Lowe is back in everyday play and producing top-10 2B numbers — must-add if dropped. Both teams' lineups are fantasy gold.
Watch Phillies 11-9 over Pirates — Schwarber's 20th →Spencer Strider's triumphant return: 6 IP / 0 ER / 8 K vs. Boston in his first 2026 start. Fastball back at 97-98 mph (pre-injury level). Slider produced a 44% whiff rate. Sean Murphy walked it off in the 9th for a 3-2 Braves win. Strider will get extra rest before his next start.
The velocity is back. Strider is a top-15 SP rest of season — start him every time out. Some managers dropped him during the 6-week IL stint; capitalize via trade if you can. If somehow on your wire (~9% of leagues), claim immediately.
Watch Strider's 8-K return vs. Boston →Get this in your inbox every day
Free. No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.